Additional Questions Added to Accuracy Contest
On February 12, 2015 we are adding additional questions to the final round for the accuracy contest. Forecasts on these questions – through March 6, 2015 – have their market scores calculated and added...
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Help us improve the Recommender
The Recommender is used throughout SciCast to suggest new questions based on your previous activity. It is most obvious in the carousel on the main “exchange” page, shown below: You’re invited to take...
View ArticleSciCast Accuracy Incentives Contest Has Ended
The SciCast Accuracy Incentives contest has come to an end. The final accuracy leaderboard will be selected at a random time in the next few weeks. This will allow more questions to resolve as well as...
View ArticleHelp Our Research Efforts and Be Entered to Win an Amazon Gift Card
Please give us a hand with our research and take a moment to complete the latest surveys. On April 10, to thank you for your help, we’ll be conducting random drawings for $1,000 total in Amazon Gift...
View ArticleSurvivor: Future! (And Accuracy Contest Winners Will Be Announced Soon)
We’re thrilled to announce that everyone who participated in the accuracy contest will receive an invitation to be a guest star on Survivor: Future! Can you outwit the other castaways with your...
View ArticleSurvey Drawing Winners Announced!
Thank you to everyone who completed surveys for SciCast. We conducted random drawings for Amazon Gift Cards for 10 people for $100 each! Congratulations, winners: FrankGarza markm katefu MurphysLab...
View ArticleCombo Edits Q & A
<<back to Combo Edits Contest Q: Expected value? So, if I’m betting that A happens, shouldn’t I just make P(A)=99%? A: If you knew exactly when we would calculate the expected value, this would...
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Announcing the Combo Edits Contest!
SciCast’s unique feature is the ability to make conditional edits, also called assumptions or combinatorial edits. Now you’ll have a chance to compete for big prizes for your making at least at least...
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Announcing the Winners of the Accuracy Contest!
Congratulations to the winners of the Accuracy Contest! The top 15 most accurate forecasters will receive $2250 each to spend at Amazon.com. Winners, watch your email for your award! If you have not...
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Announcing the Combo Edits Contest Winners!
Congratulations to the winners of the Combo Edits Contest! We’ve awarded $16,000 proportionately to our top forecasters for their efforts during a month long period. This contest encouraged SciCasters...
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